Atalanta vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
EMP
1 - 0
ATL
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
ATL
1 - 2
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
ATL
1 - 3
VIC
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 0
NAP
25%
26%
50%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
LEC
0 - 1
JUV
16%
25%
59%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
FIO
5 - 0
LEC
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
ACM
1 - 2
LEC
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +1 |