Atalanta vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
TOR
1 - 0
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
MAN
0 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
BOL
1 - 0
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
ATL
0 - 1
FIO
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
UDI
2 - 0
PAD
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
PAD
2 - 3
COM
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAD
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAG
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
USA
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |