Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
ARS
3 - 2
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1932 |
WBA
1 - 1
ARS
45%
23%
32%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
MAC
2 - 3
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
ARS
6 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 2
WBA
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
71%
15%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
SUN
3 - 1
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1932 |
SHW
3 - 1
EVE
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1932 |
EVE
2 - 1
SHW
64%
17%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |