Arahal vs Mairena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
ARH
32%
25%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARH
2 - 4
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MSQ
0 - 0
ARH
21%
23%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARH
1 - 4
UDR
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
ARH
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 0
ROC
55%
23%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
MAI
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 0
PUE
68%
20%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 0
MAI
25%
24%
52%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 0
VEN
43%
25%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |