Angouleme vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
5º
33
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
42 | 46 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 40 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
72% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
83.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GOB
1 - 2
ANG
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
LES
2 - 0
ANG
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 1
ANG
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 0
TRE
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
ANG
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BER
2 - 2
BLO
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PAU
0 - 0
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BER
6 - 1
VIE
73%
19%
8%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
BER
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
YZE
2 - 2
BER
11%
22%
67%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |