Amadense vs Coritiba SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
AMA
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
AMA
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOC
0 - 2
AMA
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
EST
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Coritiba SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 2
LAG
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 4
ITA
22%
24%
54%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 3
COR
70%
18%
13%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 1
COR
71%
18%
11%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
SOC
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |