Aluminij vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
1 - 0
ALU
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALU
3 - 0
TAS
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
ALU
1 - 0
TAS
56%
22%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALU
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ALU
2 - 0
NSM
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
TAS
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NSM
1 - 0
CEL
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 2
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 6
CEL
15%
19%
66%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CEL
3 - 0
RUD
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |