Alianza Universidad vs Deportivo Llacuabamba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
AUN
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 1
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AYA
1 - 3
AUN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 0
FCS
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
AUN
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Llacuabamba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
SRP
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
LLA
58%
22%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 0
LOS
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
LLA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 1
LLA
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |