Alianza FC vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ENV
1 - 0
ALI
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 0
SFE
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
0 - 1
ALI
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 2
AME
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ONC
1 - 2
CUC
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
ONC
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 2
ONC
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ONC
1 - 0
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
ONC
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |