Alianza FC vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MIL
6 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
NAC
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
2 - 1
ALI
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 0
PAT
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
4 - 0
BUC
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MIL
6 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PER
0 - 2
MIL
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
AME
0 - 2
MIL
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MIL
3 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |