Alianza FC vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EQU
0 - 0
ALI
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 1
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
ONC
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
CUC
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
CUC
1 - 2
ALI
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 0
HUI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 0
UNI
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 3
MIL
25%
28%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 2
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
50%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |