Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALB
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
ALH
0 - 2
ALI
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALI
15%
19%
66%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALS
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALT
57%
21%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALR
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALN
33%
26%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALW
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALA
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALW
0 - 3
ALN
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |