Al-Ahly vs Zamalek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ALA
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
ALA
6 - 0
ALU
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 1
ALM
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ENP
0 - 0
ALA
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 0
SMO
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ALA
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ELS
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
EEE
0 - 1
ZAM
29%
29%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 2
ZAM
28%
31%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 0
PET
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |