Ajax vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
8%
16%
76%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 1
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 1
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 2
LIV
22%
22%
56%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ASV
7 - 2
LIV
9%
16%
76%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
LIV
3 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 7
LIV
5%
14%
81%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |