Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
WIL
0 - 6
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 4
PSV
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
FEY
6 - 1
APE
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
FEY
4 - 2
TWE
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
FEY
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
FEY
6 - 1
AZA
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SCH
3 - 1
FEY
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |