Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 2
AUX
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
NAC
2 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 2
FOR
89%
9%
2%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
GRO
3 - 2
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 0
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
SPA
0 - 2
GRO
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
GRO
0 - 1
FEY
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
VOL
2 - 2
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |