Ajax vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ZWO
0 - 1
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 1
TWE
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
RJC
2 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ADO
2 - 1
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 0
ADO
47%
24%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 0
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
ADO
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FEY
3 - 1
ADO
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |