Afan Lido vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
LID
0 - 1
CON
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1999 |
CWM
0 - 4
LID
75%
16%
8%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
LID
0 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
HAV
1 - 1
LID
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
LID
2 - 1
RHY
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
ABE
2 - 1
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
CON
0 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
HOL
0 - 0
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
LLA
2 - 0
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |