AD Plus Ultra vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
LEV
3 - 0
PUL
63%
19%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
ALB
1 - 2
PUL
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1950 |
PUL
2 - 1
MEL
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1950 |
PUL
2 - 2
SLA
62%
18%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
BAL
2 - 0
PUL
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
HER
0 - 1
BAL
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
HER
3 - 4
CAT
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
GRA
2 - 0
HER
56%
20%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
CAR
2 - 2
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |