Académica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 0
ACA
13%
20%
67%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
BOA
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
VST
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
PAÇ
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |