AC Monza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
ASS
48%
29%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
CES
1 - 2
ASS
45%
30%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
ASS
2 - 0
FCC
56%
27%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASS
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 1
MAS
71%
19%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 1
NOV
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
NOV
0 - 1
FCC
51%
29%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 2
CES
53%
30%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
PIS
1 - 0
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |