AC Monza vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASS
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
ASS
0 - 0
PIS
31%
31%
38%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
VNZ
2 - 0
ASS
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 1
COS
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
ASC
3 - 3
LEC
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
31%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
TER
0 - 2
ASC
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |