Aberdeen vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
CLY
3 - 0
ABE
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1915 |
ABE
1 - 1
AYR
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
RAI
5 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
ABE
2 - 1
DUN
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
MHE
1 - 1
ABE
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
FAL
0 - 1
CEL
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1915 |
DUN
1 - 0
FAL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1915 |
GRE
1 - 0
FAL
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
FAL
1 - 1
HOM
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
CLY
4 - 2
FAL
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |