1860 München vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 0
COT
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
KSC
1 - 3
MUN
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
MUN
3 - 0
EBT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 2
MUN
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MUN
2 - 1
EIN
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
F95
1 - 1
EIN
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ING
1 - 1
F95
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
F95
1 - 1
BOR
79%
15%
7%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
WEH
1 - 2
F95
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
F95
0 - 0
BVB
23%
25%
53%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |