Swiss Super League Regular Season Round 21

Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis

Zurich FC Lugano
70 ELO 75
-3.7% Tilt -10.3%
284º General ELO ranking 313º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
45.2%
Zurich
26%
Draw
28.8%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
Zurich
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-3%
-6%
FC Lugano

ELO progression

Zurich
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 1995
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 1
Sion
SIO
31%
26%
42%
71 79 8 0
19 Nov. 1995
SER
Servette
0 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
60%
23%
17%
71 74 3 0
12 Nov. 1995
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
70%
19%
11%
70 80 10 +1
05 Nov. 1995
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
48%
25%
27%
69 71 2 +1
28 Oct. 1995
BAS
Basel
0 - 3
Zurich
ZUR
69%
19%
12%
68 75 7 +1

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 1995
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 1
Luzern
FCL
40%
27%
34%
74 78 4 0
19 Nov. 1995
SIO
Sion
5 - 2
FC Lugano
LUG
59%
22%
18%
75 79 4 -1
12 Nov. 1995
FCA
Aarau
5 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
54%
24%
22%
76 77 1 -1
08 Nov. 1995
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 1
Grasshopper
GCZ
32%
28%
41%
76 83 7 0
05 Nov. 1995
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 1
Basel
BAS
51%
25%
24%
76 74 2 0