Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SIO
31%
26%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
SER
0 - 0
ZUR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
NEX
0 - 2
ZUR
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
ZUR
3 - 1
LAU
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 3
ZUR
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
SIO
5 - 2
LUG
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
FCA
5 - 0
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
GCZ
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |