De Zouaven vs VOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DEZ
5 - 1
FCB
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DED
1 - 1
DEZ
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GOE
4 - 0
DEZ
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
EDO
2 - 4
DEZ
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DEZ
1 - 4
WES
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
VOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VOC
3 - 1
NIE
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
DED
4 - 3
VOC
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VOC
2 - 1
RKA
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VOC
3 - 2
FCB
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DEL
2 - 3
VOC
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |