III Liga Grupo 3. Jor. 16

Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój analysis

Zielona Góra Goczałkowice Zdrój
45 ELO 32
-6.7% Tilt -2.3%
5087º General ELO ranking 4768º
94º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
73.3%
Zielona Góra
17.2%
Draw
9.6%
Goczałkowice Zdrój

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
Zielona Góra
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.6%
Win probability
Goczałkowice Zdrój
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zielona Góra
-28%
-11%
Goczałkowice Zdrój

Points and table prediction

Zielona Góra
Their league position
Goczałkowice Zdrój
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
46
10º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
TS Polonia Bytom
75
75
100%
Rakow Czestochowa II
65
65
100%
Rekord Bielsko Biała
65
65
100%
Ślęza Wrocław
60
60
100%
Carina Gubin
54
54
100%
Górnik Zabrze II
51
51
100%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
51
51
100%
Kluczbork
48
48
100%
Zielona Góra
47
47
100%
Pawłowice Śląskie
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Goczałkowice Zdrój
11º
46
46
11º
0%
Stilon Gorzów
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Warta Gorzów
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Stal Brzeg
14º
37
37
14º
100%
Polonia Nysa
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Miedz Legnica II
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Odra Wodzislaw Slaski
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Chrobry Glogow II
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zielona Góra
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zielona Góra
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zielona Góra
Zielona Góra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2022
ZIE
Zielona Góra
0 - 0
Radomiak Radom
RAD
7%
14%
79%
44 74 30 0
05 Nov. 2022
PAW
Pawłowice Śląskie
2 - 3
Zielona Góra
ZIE
32%
25%
43%
44 37 7 0
29 Oct. 2022
ZIE
Zielona Góra
2 - 0
Carina Gubin
CAR
73%
17%
10%
43 30 13 +1
22 Oct. 2022
KSP
Polonia Nysa
4 - 1
Zielona Góra
ZIE
13%
21%
66%
46 26 20 -3
16 Oct. 2022
ZIE
Zielona Góra
5 - 0
Odra Wodzislaw Slaski
OWD
20%
23%
57%
44 54 10 +2

Matches

Goczałkowice Zdrój
Goczałkowice Zdrój
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
LKS
Goczałkowice Zdrój
2 - 2
Stilon Gorzów
SGO
51%
21%
27%
32 29 3 0
29 Oct. 2022
STB
Stal Brzeg
3 - 1
Goczałkowice Zdrój
LKS
32%
23%
45%
33 26 7 -1
22 Oct. 2022
LKS
Goczałkowice Zdrój
0 - 3
Ślęza Wrocław
WRO
10%
17%
72%
33 50 17 0
15 Oct. 2022
RAK
Rakow Czestochowa II
0 - 0
Goczałkowice Zdrój
LKS
78%
15%
7%
33 48 15 0
08 Oct. 2022
LKS
Goczałkowice Zdrój
0 - 3
Górnik Zabrze II
GOR
27%
24%
49%
35 42 7 -2
X