Zenit Penza vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
SOK
3 - 0
ZEN
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 1
SAL
10%
19%
71%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 1
ZEN
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 0
KAL
25%
26%
49%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 0
ZEN
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 2
AVA
29%
25%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
KAL
2 - 1
AVA
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
4 - 4
DIN
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DIN
0 - 0
AVA
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
SAK
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |