Željeznicar vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
8º
3º
37
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZEL
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 1
SIR
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ZRI
1 - 2
ZEL
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 1
LEO
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZEL
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 5
SLO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 0
SLO
68%
20%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 4
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
AZA
1 - 0
SLO
73%
17%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
SLO
6 - 0
TPE
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |