XV de Piracicaba vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 2
XVD
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 0
JUV
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
XVD
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 2
PPE
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 1
TAU
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 0
PPE
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
3 - 2
NOV
7%
13%
80%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
COM
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
MON
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |