XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
XVD
1 - 2
FER
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VOT
1 - 0
XVD
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
XVD
0 - 0
SAO
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 3
XVD
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
XVD
0 - 1
JUV
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
ITU
0 - 0
OES
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
ITU
12%
21%
67%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
ITU
1 - 2
PRI
78%
16%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
POR
3 - 3
ITU
12%
19%
69%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
ITU
3 - 0
LIN
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |