XV de Piracicaba vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 2
XVD
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 1
LEM
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
XVD
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
OES
1 - 1
XVD
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
VEL
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 2
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |