Hertha Wels vs Leoben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
3º
72
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
TBG
1 - 2
HER
33%
24%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HER
3 - 2
KAL
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 0
HER
83%
12%
6%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 2
HER
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
LJU
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
LBN
1 - 0
GDF
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
LJU
2 - 0
LBN
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SVL
1 - 1
LBN
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 4
LBN
13%
18%
70%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
LBN
1 - 3
OPA
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |