Worcester City vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
WOR
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 0
WOR
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
HIS
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 0
STO
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
STO
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
HED
2 - 2
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 5
BRA
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |