New Zealand National League Northern League Round 10

West Coast Rangers vs East Coast Bays analysis

West Coast Rangers East Coast Bays
22 ELO 22
2% Tilt -0.4%
11402º General ELO ranking 8999º
31º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
43.1%
West Coast Rangers
21.2%
Draw
35.8%
East Coast Bays

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
West Coast Rangers
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35.8%
Win probability
East Coast Bays
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
West Coast Rangers
-42%
+8%
East Coast Bays

Points and table prediction

West Coast Rangers
Their league position
East Coast Bays
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
22
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auckland City
51
51
100%
Western Springs
43
46
78%
Eastern Suburbs
44
44
78%
Birkenhead United
43
43
100%
Auckland United
40
40
100%
Bay Olympic
28
28
100%
Tauranga
25
25
100%
West Coast Rangers
23
23
100%
East Coast Bays
22
22
100%
Manurewa
10º
19
19
10º
100%
Melville United
11º
18
18
11º
100%
Hamilton Wanderers
12º
14
14
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
West Coast Rangers
East Coast Bays
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

West Coast Rangers
East Coast Bays
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

West Coast Rangers
West Coast Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2024
WCR
West Coast Rangers
0 - 1
Eastern Suburbs
EAS
14%
17%
69%
23 45 22 0
04 May. 2024
WCR
West Coast Rangers
3 - 1
Melville United
MEL
44%
21%
36%
22 23 1 +1
27 Apr. 2024
AFC
Auckland United
6 - 1
West Coast Rangers
WCR
78%
13%
9%
22 37 15 0
20 Apr. 2024
TCU
Tauranga
2 - 1
West Coast Rangers
WCR
78%
14%
8%
23 53 30 -1
12 Apr. 2024
WCR
West Coast Rangers
0 - 3
Auckland City
AUC
14%
19%
67%
23 53 30 0

Matches

East Coast Bays
East Coast Bays
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2024
AFC
Auckland United
2 - 0
East Coast Bays
ECB
76%
14%
11%
23 36 13 0
04 May. 2024
ECB
East Coast Bays
0 - 3
Auckland City
AUC
16%
19%
65%
24 52 28 -1
27 Apr. 2024
TCU
Tauranga
2 - 2
East Coast Bays
ECB
77%
15%
9%
23 52 29 +1
19 Apr. 2024
BIR
Birkenhead United
0 - 0
East Coast Bays
ECB
77%
13%
10%
23 35 12 0
13 Apr. 2024
ECB
East Coast Bays
2 - 2
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
39%
20%
41%
23 26 3 0