Werder Bremen vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
HSV
2 - 0
BRE
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 0
OBK
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
STU
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
M05
1 - 2
BRE
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 2
BRE
15%
19%
66%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 2
BVB
13%
18%
68%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AUG
3 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAD
3 - 1
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HOF
1 - 0
PAD
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PAD
3 - 1
EIN
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +2 |