Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BYM
5 - 0
BRE
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 1
HAN
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 4
BRE
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
DAR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ING
2 - 0
BRE
25%
23%
52%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BVB
2 - 0
M05
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
M05
0 - 0
DAR
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
BYM
1 - 2
M05
78%
15%
8%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
M05
3 - 1
LEV
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HOF
3 - 2
M05
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |