Werder Bremen vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
13º
13º
43
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 1
BRE
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
AUG
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RTV
0 - 2
BRE
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 4
EIN
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 3
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
RBL
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 0
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
M05
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |