Werder Bremen II vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
1º
1º
41
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
95.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
1.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 35 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
66% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
54.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
4% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
57% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 4
WER
32%
22%
46%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 7
WER
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OSC
1 - 5
WER
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 5
WER
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WER
14 - 1
BRI
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GEE
6 - 2
BTN
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 1
GEE
79%
12%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GEE
1 - 8
SVH
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 5
GEE
25%
19%
56%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GEE
3 - 0
BLU
57%
19%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |