Weiche Flensburg vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weiche Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
WEI
1 - 1
KOL
37%
25%
39%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ESB
0 - 0
WEI
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ECK
0 - 2
WEI
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 8 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
OTT
1 - 2
WEI
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LSK
1 - 2
WEI
18%
23%
58%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 3
S04
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
STP
3 - 0
HOL
24%
24%
51%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HAL
2 - 2
HOL
16%
20%
64%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 1
HOL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 1
BIF
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |