Watford Sub 23 vs Swansea Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
WAT
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 4
IPS
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 1
WAT
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SWA
2 - 0
WAT
35%
24%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
2 - 4
BRI
29%
25%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
QPR
0 - 2
SWA
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 3
CHA
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 1
SWA
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 3
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 3
COV
20%
22%
59%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |