Watford vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
MAC
12%
20%
68%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WAT
1 - 2
TOT
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 2
WAT
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 0
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
WAT
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WBA
1 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 1
EVE
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
ASV
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TOT
1 - 2
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |