Watford vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BPO
0 - 0
WAT
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
LEE
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 2
WAT
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
WAT
2 - 2
BRI
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DON
0 - 0
WAT
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 3
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
BIR
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
BBU
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
NTT
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |