Warrington Town vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
WAR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 1
WAR
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
0 - 1
UNM
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 2
WAR
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
RAD
1 - 1
WAR
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 0
MAT
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
WIT
1 - 3
LAN
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
NAN
3 - 2
LAN
59%
21%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
LAN
0 - 5
SPE
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LAN
3 - 3
GRA
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |