Warrington Town vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DRO
3 - 1
WAR
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 0
NOR
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 2
MOS
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 0
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
WAR
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 1
LUT
30%
28%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
EXE
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
EXE
2 - 1
WYC
36%
27%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
EXE
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 2
HAR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |