FA Trophy . 1/128
Global 3-3
Warrington Town vs Ashton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 1
SUT
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 1
BAM
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
BUX
2 - 1
WAR
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
0 - 0
ALT
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
WAR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
COA
1 - 2
ASH
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
ASH
3 - 0
MAT
61%
20%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ASH
4 - 1
FRI
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
FAR
3 - 3
ASH
37%
24%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ASH
3 - 3
SLA
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |