Ware vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
THA
3 - 1
WAR
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
YEL
5 - 1
WAR
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
WAR
0 - 0
WIN
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WAR
1 - 2
VCD
40%
24%
37%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
WAR
1 - 0
CHE
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TIL
1 - 2
POT
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 1
TIL
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
TIL
3 - 2
NEE
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HEY
1 - 0
TIL
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
LOW
3 - 0
TIL
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |