Wanaka vs Mosgiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
58.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wanaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OTU
5 - 1
WNK
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WNK
1 - 0
GIA
17%
18%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
WNK
2 - 4
MOS
28%
20%
52%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
WNK
1 - 0
OTU
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +4 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GIA
5 - 3
WNK
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mosgiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GIA
1 - 1
MOS
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOS
4 - 1
OTU
42%
21%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
WNK
2 - 4
MOS
28%
20%
52%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MOS
0 - 4
GIA
37%
22%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OTU
2 - 1
MOS
40%
21%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |