Volga Novgorod vs Krylia Sovetov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VNN
2 - 0
FCR
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
TER
1 - 3
VNN
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VNN
2 - 1
TER
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VNN
1 - 2
KRA
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
TOM
1 - 0
VNN
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KRS
1 - 1
KRA
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TOM
0 - 0
KRS
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
KRS
1 - 0
NAL
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FCR
1 - 0
KRS
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
KRS
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |