Vitória vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 0
UBE
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIT
25%
30%
46%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIT
61%
23%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 2
DBO
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 1
VIT
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
ECN
2 - 2
FLU
12%
23%
66%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
ECN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |